|Race||high temp||Swim||T1||Bike||T2||Run||Overall time||Overall place||AG Place|
|IM California 2001||69||1:13:41||6:20:00||5:21:30||3:29:00||4:22:52||11:07:51||371/1559||92/299|
|IM Canada 2002||78||1:13:08||4:57:00||5:18:37||1:44:00||4:17:02||10:55:28||361/1945||90/335|
|IM CDA 2003||93||1:10:18||4:51:00||5:27:40||5:37:00||5:46:41||12:35:05||494/1344||113/213|
|IM CDA 2006||89||1:19:18||7:18:00||5:27:45||8:04:00||5:23:32||12:25:56||565/1920||136/340|
|IM Canada 2007||72||1:18:39||6:11:00||5:32:32||6:01:00||4:49:13||11:52:36||771/2445||154/350|
|IM Canada 2011||86||1:19:22||10:42:00||5:28:08||3:06:00||4:42:55||11:44:11||532/2565||114/386|
I think my swimming is right in line with what I've done in the last 3 races, maybe slightly slower. I predict a 1:22.
My cycling is simply not as good as it has been in the past. I contribute this to my lack of bike racing this year (only 2 races!). But, I HAVE put in all the long miles on the TT bike. So, with the flat course I predict somewhere between 5:15 - 5:30 on the bike if all goes smoothly.
With transitions, that should get me to the start of the marathon in just under 7 hours. That gives me a "chance" to go sub 11 with a decent 4 hour marathon. Note that my best IM marathon is 4:17. Things can and often do go really wrong in the IM marathon. Still, I think it's possible. I did run 3:09 and 3:10 in my 2 open marathons in the last year, so I SHOULD be able to go under 4. That's the plan!